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Red175
514251.3
42926.7
57151.8
Blue130
457237.3
18137.2
314641.3
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions151127050100200250300175130

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+4Auto
+25Teleop
+27Endgame
+45Fouls
AutonomousRed +4
6Leave0
6Coral scored#6
28Coral points30
34Total auto30
TeleoperatedRed +21
18Coral scored#16
63Coral points58
1Processor algae#1
7Net algae#3
6Processor points6
28Net points12
34Algae points18
97Total teleop76
Reef
6L4#7
6L3#5
5L2#6
7L1 · trough#4
32Game pieces#26
BargeRed +2
26Cage & park24
26Total endgame24
Penalties & totalRed +45
18Foul points0
175Total score130

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
571
#5
51.80.6
51.652.2
Auto10.5
Teleop40.5
End0.9
red by 10.6
41.30.3
40.941.3
Auto6.8
Teleop26.7
End7.8
Second
5142
#22
51.30.6
51.051.6
Auto12.7
Teleop30.7
End7.8
red by 14.0
4572
#10
37.30.3
37.037.3
Auto10.6
Teleop23.2
End3.5
Third
429
#16
26.70.6
26.427.1
Auto8.1
Teleop13.0
End5.7
blue by 10.5
181
#19
37.20.3
36.937.2
Auto3.1
Teleop32.2
End2.0