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Red219
740778.5
18129.4
19569.7
Blue172
514253.8
17527.9
715347.2
98%Model gave it2%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions200131100150250219172

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
+47Teleop
+47Endgame
+47Fouls
AutonomousBlue +3
6Leave0
6Coral scored#8
31Coral points40
37Total auto40
TeleoperatedRed +50
28Coral scored#20
100Coral points72
4Processor algae#3
8Net algae#4
24Processor points18
32Net points16
56Algae points34
156Total teleop106
Reef
15L4#8
8L3#10
7L2#5
4L1 · trough#5
46Game pieces#35
Bargelevel
26Cage & park26
26Total endgame26
Penalties & totalRed +47
0Foul points0
219Total score172

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
78.50.6
77.077.5
Auto22.2
Teleop44.5
End11.8
red by 24.6
53.80.7
52.152.8
Auto13.6
Teleop32.8
End7.3
Second
195
#2
69.70.6
68.368.8
Auto18.6
Teleop41.5
End9.7
red by 22.6
7153
#10
47.20.7
45.546.2
Auto10.3
Teleop31.1
End5.8
Third
181
#35
29.40.6
27.928.4
Auto4.0
Teleop24.1
End1.2
red by 1.5
175
#31
27.90.7
26.226.9
Auto5.8
Teleop18.9
End3.2