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Red231
740778.5
18129.4
19569.7
Blue184
514253.8
17527.9
715347.2
98%Model gave it2%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions202135100150250231184

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+14Auto
+47Teleop
+47Endgame
+47Fouls
AutonomousRed +14
9Leave9
8Coral scored#6
42Coral points28
51Total auto37
TeleoperatedRed +33
29Coral scored#26
106Coral points93
4Processor algae#2
6Net algae#4
24Processor points12
24Net points16
48Algae points28
154Total teleop121
Reef
16L4#10
10L3#10
8L2#6
3L1 · trough#6
47Game pieces#38
Bargelevel
26Cage & park26
26Total endgame26
Penalties & totalRed +47
0Foul points0
231Total score184

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
78.50.9
77.578.5
Auto22.2
Teleop44.5
End11.8
red by 24.6
53.81.0
52.853.8
Auto13.6
Teleop32.8
End7.3
Second
195
#2
69.70.9
68.869.7
Auto18.6
Teleop41.5
End9.7
red by 22.6
7153
#10
47.21.0
46.247.2
Auto10.3
Teleop31.1
End5.8
Third
181
#35
29.40.9
28.429.4
Auto4.0
Teleop24.1
End1.2
red by 1.5
175
#31
27.91.0
26.927.9
Auto5.8
Teleop18.9
End3.2