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Red90
971024.6
365420.5
15535.5
Blue65
49873.3
18129.4
55829.8
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8559020401001201401609065

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+8Auto
+7Teleop
+7Endgame
+25Fouls
AutonomousRed +8
3Leave3
3Coral scored#1
14Coral points6
17Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +1
7Coral scored#10
25Coral points36
1Processor algae#2
5Net algae#1
6Processor points12
20Net points4
26Algae points16
51Total teleop52
Reef
4L4#4
3L3#2
2L2#3
1L1 · trough#2
16Game pieces#14
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +25
18Foul points0
90Total score65

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
155
#18
35.50.6
33.933.3
Auto8.3
Teleop23.3
End3.9
red by 5.7
558
#5
29.80.2
24.925.1
Auto4.1
Teleop21.3
End4.3
Second
9710
#28
24.60.6
19.018.4
Auto6.4
Teleop17.3
End0.9
blue by 4.7
181
#35
29.40.2
20.220.4
Auto4.0
Teleop24.1
End1.2
Third
3654
#21
20.50.6
20.119.5
Auto3.5
Teleop14.9
End2.1
red by 17.2
4987
#39
3.30.2
8.08.2
Auto3.7
Teleop-0.0
End-0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
66%Auto oddsMissed41%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
7%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
20%Barge oddsMissed12%Barge oddsMissed