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Red49
216831.3
633324.8
91938.2
Blue86
585616.6
712752.3
769420.4
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6678020401001201404986

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+4
Teleop+33
Endgame+37
Fouls+37
AutonomousBlue +4
3Leave3
2Coral scored#3
9Coral points13
12Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +29
9Coral scored#14
31Coral points52
0Processor algae#0
1Net algae#3
0Processor points0
4Net points12
4Algae points12
35Total teleop64
Reef
4L4#4
4L3#7
1L2#3
2L1 · trough#3
12Game pieces#20
BargeBlue +4
2Cage & park6
2Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +37
0Foul points0
49Total score86

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2168
#17
31.30.9
27.626.7
Auto4.8
Teleop24.4
End2.0
blue by 21.1
52.31.0
39.140.1
Auto8.8
Teleop41.8
End1.7
Second
6333
#19
24.80.9
23.022.1
Auto2.6
Teleop22.0
End0.2
red by 4.4
7694
#32
20.41.0
19.720.7
Auto4.6
Teleop13.6
End2.2
Third
9193
#38
8.20.9
12.011.1
Auto3.1
Teleop3.2
End1.9
blue by 8.4
5856
#23
16.61.0
12.013.0
Auto3.0
Teleop11.4
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
42%Auto oddsEarned49%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
33%Barge oddsMissed12%Barge oddsMissed