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Red146
514253.8
363423.0
23643.3
Blue100
634635.3
22830.3
17527.9
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10492406080120140160146100

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
+12Teleop
+44Endgame
+46Fouls
AutonomousBlue +3
9Leave0
3Coral scored#5
14Coral points26
23Total auto26
TeleoperatedRed +15
15Coral scored#14
53Coral points50
2Processor algae#2
5Net algae#2
12Processor points12
20Net points8
32Algae points20
85Total teleop70
Reef
8L4#6
3L3#7
3L2#3
4L1 · trough#3
25Game pieces#23
BargeRed +32
36Cage & park4
36Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +46
2Foul points0
146Total score100

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
53.82.2
41.143.2
Auto13.6
Teleop32.8
End7.3
red by 18.5
35.30.0
26.326.3
Auto7.8
Teleop26.5
End0.9
Second
236
#8
43.32.2
34.636.8
Auto7.0
Teleop28.3
End7.9
red by 13.0
228
#7
30.30.0
31.631.6
Auto6.2
Teleop19.1
End5.0
Third
3634
#25
23.02.2
18.420.6
Auto4.5
Teleop11.2
End7.3
blue by 4.9
175
#31
27.90.0
26.726.8
Auto5.8
Teleop18.9
End3.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
94%Auto oddsEarned84%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
69%Barge oddsEarned52%Barge oddsMissed