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Red123
346442.0
314637.0
1013326.6
Blue144
17341.8
1026610.2
404845.5
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10694406080100120140160180123144

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
Teleop+27
Endgame+15
Fouls+21
AutonomousBlue +7
9Leave6
1Coral scored#3
4Coral points14
13Total auto20
TeleoperatedBlue +20
18Coral scored#23
66Coral points82
2Processor algae#2
4Net algae#5
12Processor points12
16Net points20
28Algae points32
94Total teleop114
Reef
6L4#7
6L3#9
4L2#6
3L1 · trough#4
25Game pieces#33
BargeRed +12
16Cage & park4
16Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +21
0Foul points6
123Total score144

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3464
#15
42.01.2
32.233.4
Auto4.8
Teleop33.8
End3.4
blue by 3.5
45.52.9
34.637.4
Auto7.3
Teleop33.2
End5.0
Second
3146
#14
37.01.2
35.536.7
Auto5.0
Teleop25.4
End6.6
blue by 4.8
173
#24
41.82.9
37.640.5
Auto9.8
Teleop30.5
End1.6
Third
26.61.2
19.620.9
Auto4.5
Teleop19.7
End2.4
red by 16.4
10.22.9
8.010.8
Auto3.7
Teleop3.9
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
55%Auto oddsMissed43%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
6%Coral oddsEarned5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
57%Barge oddsEarned40%Barge oddsMissed