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Red82
216831.3
346131.1
57144.3
Blue89
1024519.3
15535.5
633324.8
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions117730501001502008289

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+9
Teleop+13
Endgame+15
Fouls+7
AutonomousBlue +9
6Leave3
0Coral scored#2
0Coral points12
6Total auto15
TeleoperatedBlue +4
14Coral scored#12
50Coral points44
1Processor algae#2
2Net algae#3
6Processor points12
8Net points12
14Algae points24
64Total teleop68
Reef
4L4#4
4L3#5
3L2#2
3L1 · trough#3
17Game pieces#19
BargeBlue +2
4Cage & park6
4Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +7
8Foul points0
82Total score89

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
571
#12
44.33.0
47.744.7
Auto9.0
Teleop32.7
End2.6
red by 8.8
155
#18
35.50.1
33.333.4
Auto8.3
Teleop23.3
End3.9
Second
2168
#17
31.33.0
26.723.7
Auto4.8
Teleop24.4
End2.0
red by 6.4
6333
#19
24.80.1
22.122.2
Auto2.6
Teleop22.0
End0.2
Third
3461
#20
31.13.0
30.027.0
Auto3.9
Teleop23.7
End3.5
red by 11.8
19.30.1
19.619.7
Auto6.1
Teleop11.2
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
80%Auto oddsMissed89%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
10%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
42%Barge oddsMissed37%Barge oddsMissed