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Red99
712752.3
17821.3
217026.3
Blue136
574623.2
971024.6
740778.5
13%Model gave it87%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions861215010015099136

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+25
Teleop+19
Endgame+33
Fouls+37
AutonomousBlue +25
3Leave9
2Coral scored#6
9Coral points28
12Total auto37
TeleoperatedRed +6
14Coral scored#13
49Coral points45
2Processor algae#3
6Net algae#4
12Processor points18
24Net points16
36Algae points34
85Total teleop79
Reef
4L4#8
6L3#6
4L2#3
2L1 · trough#2
24Game pieces#26
BargeBlue +14
2Cage & park16
2Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +37
0Foul points4
99Total score136

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
52.31.1
40.141.2
Auto8.8
Teleop41.8
End1.7
blue by 26.1
78.51.6
69.971.5
Auto22.2
Teleop44.5
End11.8
Second
2170
#16
26.31.1
22.023.1
Auto4.9
Teleop17.8
End3.6
red by 1.7
9710
#28
24.61.6
18.420.1
Auto6.4
Teleop17.3
End0.9
Third
178
#29
21.31.1
20.521.6
Auto5.2
Teleop14.3
End1.8
blue by 1.9
5746
#36
23.21.6
19.020.6
Auto4.5
Teleop18.0
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
70%Auto oddsEarned54%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed20%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
24%Barge oddsMissed66%Barge oddsEarned