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Red219
514253.8
786943.9
19569.7
Blue153
23643.3
634635.3
199127.7
96%Model gave it4%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1729950150200250219153

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+31Auto
+62Teleop
+72Endgame
+66Fouls
AutonomousRed +31
6Leave6
8Coral scored#2
41Coral points10
47Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +31
25Coral scored#27
90Coral points97
4Processor algae#1
8Net algae#3
24Processor points6
32Net points12
56Algae points18
146Total teleop115
Reef
15L4#12
7L3#5
8L2#7
3L1 · trough#5
45Game pieces#33
BargeRed +10
26Cage & park16
26Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +66
0Foul points6
219Total score153

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
195
#2
69.73.5
62.165.6
Auto18.6
Teleop41.5
End9.7
red by 26.5
236
#8
43.32.4
36.839.2
Auto7.0
Teleop28.3
End7.9
Second
53.83.5
43.246.8
Auto13.6
Teleop32.8
End7.3
red by 18.5
35.32.4
26.328.7
Auto7.8
Teleop26.5
End0.9
Third
7869
#11
43.93.5
36.039.5
Auto5.0
Teleop37.0
End1.8
red by 16.2
1991
#27
27.72.4
21.924.3
Auto3.1
Teleop22.9
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
83%Auto oddsEarned91%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
36%Coral oddsEarned6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
63%Barge oddsEarned29%Barge oddsEarned