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Qual 192025 NE District Hartford Event
Red40
91938.2
1013326.6
49873.3
Blue67
135027.7
55829.8
102710.1
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions506001001504067

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+10
Teleop+27
Endgame+27
Fouls+27
AutonomousBlue +10
3Leave6
1Coral scored#2
3Coral points10
6Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +17
6Coral scored#9
22Coral points33
0Processor algae#1
2Net algae#2
0Processor points6
8Net points8
8Algae points14
30Total teleop47
Reef
2L4#4
3L3#3
1L2#2
1L1 · trough#2
9Game pieces#14
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +27
0Foul points0
40Total score67

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
10133
#33
26.60.8
20.9→20.1
Auto4.5
Teleop19.7
End2.4
blue by 3.2
558
#5
29.80.5
25.1→25.6
Auto4.1
Teleop21.3
End4.3
Second
9193
#38
8.20.8
11.1→10.3
Auto3.1
Teleop3.2
End1.9
blue by 19.5
1350
#26
27.70.5
16.2→16.7
Auto5.4
Teleop18.8
End3.4
Third
4987
#39
3.30.8
8.2→7.5
Auto3.7
Teleop-0.0
End-0.5
blue by 6.9
1027
#34
10.10.5
7.1→7.6
Auto2.3
Teleop5.9
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
39%Auto oddsMissed14%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
19%Barge oddsMissed19%Barge oddsMissed