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Red128
365420.5
634635.3
19569.7
Blue89
109926.5
633324.8
971024.6
96%Model gave it4%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1376505010015020012889

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+11Auto
+23Teleop
+33Endgame
+39Fouls
AutonomousRed +11
0Leave9
5Coral scored#1
27Coral points7
27Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +12
16Coral scored#13
57Coral points47
2Processor algae#1
3Net algae#4
12Processor points6
12Net points16
24Algae points22
81Total teleop69
Reef
8L4#6
6L3#4
4L2#2
3L1 · trough#2
26Game pieces#19
BargeRed +10
14Cage & park4
14Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +39
6Foul points0
128Total score89

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
195
#2
69.70.1
65.665.7
Auto18.6
Teleop41.5
End9.7
red by 43.3
1099
#30
26.51.2
21.122.2
Auto3.9
Teleop19.5
End3.1
Second
35.30.1
28.728.9
Auto7.8
Teleop26.5
End0.9
red by 10.5
6333
#19
24.81.2
22.223.3
Auto2.6
Teleop22.0
End0.2
Third
3654
#21
20.50.1
19.519.7
Auto3.5
Teleop14.9
End2.1
blue by 4.2
9710
#28
24.61.2
20.121.2
Auto6.4
Teleop17.3
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
88%Auto oddsEarned46%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
52%Coral oddsEarned4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
59%Barge oddsEarned29%Barge oddsMissed