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Red94
22830.3
585616.6
18129.4
Blue84
102710.1
314637.0
15535.5
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions83940501502002509484

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+14
+2Teleop
+12Endgame
+10Fouls
AutonomousBlue +14
9Leave3
0Coral scored#4
0Coral points20
9Total auto23
TeleoperatedRed +16
16Coral scored#11
57Coral points39
1Processor algae#2
2Net algae#1
6Processor points12
8Net points4
14Algae points16
71Total teleop55
Reef
5L4#4
4L3#5
4L2#4
3L1 · trough#2
19Game pieces#18
BargeRed +10
14Cage & park4
14Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +10
0Foul points2
94Total score84

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
228
#7
30.30.6
32.633.2
Auto6.2
Teleop19.1
End5.0
blue by 6.7
3146
#14
37.00.7
38.037.3
Auto5.0
Teleop25.4
End6.6
Second
181
#35
29.40.6
23.624.2
Auto4.0
Teleop24.1
End1.2
blue by 6.1
155
#18
35.50.7
33.432.7
Auto8.3
Teleop23.3
End3.9
Third
5856
#23
16.60.6
14.214.8
Auto3.0
Teleop11.4
End2.2
red by 6.5
1027
#34
10.10.7
7.66.9
Auto2.3
Teleop5.9
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
64%Auto oddsMissed47%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
40%Barge oddsEarned35%Barge oddsMissed