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Red173
17341.8
769420.4
786943.9
Blue73
514253.8
49873.3
574623.2
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions119795010015020017373

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
+34Teleop
+48Endgame
+100Fouls
Autonomouslevel
3Leave0
4Coral scored#5
20Coral points23
23Total auto23
TeleoperatedRed +34
13Coral scored#11
48Coral points38
3Processor algae#1
4Net algae#1
18Processor points6
16Net points4
34Algae points10
82Total teleop48
Reef
7L4#5
5L3#5
3L2#4
2L1 · trough#2
24Game pieces#18
BargeRed +14
16Cage & park2
16Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +100
52Foul points0
173Total score73

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7869
#11
43.91.1
40.741.8
Auto5.0
Teleop37.0
End1.8
blue by 9.9
53.80.1
47.247.1
Auto13.6
Teleop32.8
End7.3
Second
173
#24
41.81.1
42.143.2
Auto9.8
Teleop30.5
End1.6
red by 18.6
5746
#36
23.20.1
20.420.3
Auto4.5
Teleop18.0
End0.6
Third
7694
#32
20.41.1
21.722.8
Auto4.6
Teleop13.6
End2.2
red by 17.1
4987
#39
3.30.1
7.57.4
Auto3.7
Teleop-0.0
End-0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
51%Auto oddsEarned74%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
10%Barge oddsEarned9%Barge oddsMissed