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Red54
971024.6
91938.2
404845.5
Blue104
715347.2
633324.8
23643.3
7%Model gave it93%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7112505010015020054104

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+4Auto
Teleop+48
Endgame+50
Fouls+50
AutonomousRed +4
9Leave3
2Coral scored#3
11Coral points13
20Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +52
8Coral scored#17
28Coral points62
0Processor algae#1
1Net algae#4
0Processor points6
4Net points16
4Algae points22
32Total teleop84
Reef
2L4#6
5L3#7
2L2#3
1L1 · trough#4
11Game pieces#25
BargeBlue +2
2Cage & park4
2Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +50
0Foul points0
54Total score104

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
45.51.3
41.039.7
Auto7.3
Teleop33.2
End5.0
blue by 1.7
7153
#10
47.20.3
44.143.9
Auto10.3
Teleop31.1
End5.8
Second
9710
#28
24.61.3
21.219.9
Auto6.4
Teleop17.3
End0.9
blue by 18.6
236
#8
43.30.3
40.840.5
Auto7.0
Teleop28.3
End7.9
Third
9193
#38
8.21.3
11.410.1
Auto3.1
Teleop3.2
End1.9
blue by 16.6
6333
#19
24.80.3
23.323.1
Auto2.6
Teleop22.0
End0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
31%Auto oddsMissed85%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
7%Coral oddsMissed7%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
41%Barge oddsMissed69%Barge oddsMissed