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Red76
55829.8
365420.5
216831.3
Blue96
346442.0
57144.3
888932.3
4%Model gave it96%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions761320501001502007696

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
Teleop+26
Endgame+20
Fouls+20
AutonomousBlue +3
3Leave3
2Coral scored#3
10Coral points13
13Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +23
12Coral scored#14
43Coral points52
1Processor algae#2
2Net algae#4
6Processor points12
8Net points16
14Algae points28
57Total teleop80
Reef
6L4#5
3L3#6
3L2#2
2L1 · trough#4
17Game pieces#23
BargeRed +6
6Cage & park0
6Total endgame0
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +20
0Foul points0
76Total score96

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2168
#17
31.30.2
24.925.0
Auto4.8
Teleop24.4
End2.0
blue by 13.0
571
#12
44.31.3
44.743.4
Auto9.0
Teleop32.7
End2.6
Second
558
#5
29.80.2
25.926.1
Auto4.1
Teleop21.3
End4.3
blue by 12.2
3464
#15
42.01.3
38.237.0
Auto4.8
Teleop33.8
End3.4
Third
3654
#21
20.50.2
19.719.9
Auto3.5
Teleop14.9
End2.1
blue by 11.8
8889
#13
32.31.3
29.628.3
Auto5.4
Teleop26.1
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
45%Auto oddsEarned85%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
10%Coral oddsMissed19%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
17%Barge oddsMissed40%Barge oddsMissed