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Red39
18129.4
217026.3
1026610.2
Blue96
15535.5
135027.7
634635.3
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions70960204060801201401603996

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
Teleop+47
Endgame+57
Fouls+57
AutonomousBlue +7
0Leave9
2Coral scored#1
9Coral points7
9Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +40
5Coral scored#9
18Coral points34
1Processor algae#3
0Net algae#3
6Processor points18
0Net points12
6Algae points30
24Total teleop64
Reef
2L4#3
2L3#3
2L2#3
1L1 · trough#1
8Game pieces#16
BargeBlue +10
6Cage & park16
6Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +57
0Foul points0
39Total score96

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
181
#35
29.41.5
24.222.7
Auto4.0
Teleop24.1
End1.2
blue by 6.1
155
#18
35.51.1
32.733.8
Auto8.3
Teleop23.3
End3.9
Second
2170
#16
26.31.5
24.422.9
Auto4.9
Teleop17.8
End3.6
blue by 9.0
35.31.1
28.930.0
Auto7.8
Teleop26.5
End0.9
Third
10.21.5
13.011.4
Auto3.7
Teleop3.9
End2.6
blue by 17.5
1350
#26
27.71.1
17.818.9
Auto5.4
Teleop18.8
End3.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
19%Auto oddsMissed89%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
33%Barge oddsMissed12%Barge oddsEarned