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Red70
585616.6
363423.0
346442.0
Blue165
786943.9
346131.1
715347.2
11%Model gave it89%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6411205010015020070165

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
Teleop+89
Endgame+89
Fouls+95
AutonomousBlue +3
9Leave0
1Coral scored#3
4Coral points16
13Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +86
10Coral scored#25
35Coral points89
0Processor algae#4
2Net algae#4
0Processor points24
8Net points16
8Algae points40
43Total teleop129
Reef
4L4#9
3L3#9
2L2#6
2L1 · trough#4
13Game pieces#36
Bargelevel
14Cage & park14
14Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +95
0Foul points6
70Total score165

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3464
#15
42.00.4
32.632.2
Auto4.8
Teleop33.8
End3.4
blue by 5.2
7153
#10
47.23.2
40.744.0
Auto10.3
Teleop31.1
End5.8
Second
3634
#25
23.00.4
18.818.4
Auto4.5
Teleop11.2
End7.3
blue by 20.9
7869
#11
43.93.2
30.633.8
Auto5.0
Teleop37.0
End1.8
Third
5856
#23
16.60.4
12.412.0
Auto3.0
Teleop11.4
End2.2
blue by 14.5
3461
#20
31.13.2
28.832.0
Auto3.9
Teleop23.7
End3.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
73%Auto oddsMissed33%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed7%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
58%Barge oddsEarned42%Barge oddsEarned