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Red15
1026610.2
102710.1
17821.3
Blue135
712752.3
57144.3
404845.5
0%Model gave it100%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2713805010015020015135

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+11
Teleop+108
Endgame+120
Fouls+120
AutonomousBlue +11
0Leave3
1Coral scored#3
6Coral points14
6Total auto17
TeleoperatedBlue +97
1Coral scored#23
5Coral points84
0Processor algae#1
0Net algae#3
0Processor points6
0Net points12
0Algae points18
5Total teleop102
Reef
1L4#11
1L3#5
0L2#7
0L1 · trough#3
2Game pieces#30
BargeBlue +12
4Cage & park16
4Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +120
0Foul points0
15Total score135

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
178
#29
21.31.7
24.122.5
Auto5.2
Teleop14.3
End1.8
blue by 31.0
52.31.1
38.039.1
Auto8.8
Teleop41.8
End1.7
Second
10.21.7
9.78.0
Auto3.7
Teleop3.9
End2.6
blue by 35.3
45.51.0
33.634.6
Auto7.3
Teleop33.2
End5.0
Third
1027
#34
10.11.7
6.64.9
Auto2.3
Teleop5.9
End1.9
blue by 34.2
571
#12
44.31.0
48.749.6
Auto9.0
Teleop32.7
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
13%Auto oddsMissed89%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed7%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
29%Barge oddsMissed26%Barge oddsEarned