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Red122
199127.7
22830.3
786943.9
Blue95
17821.3
365420.5
769420.4
96%Model gave it4%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions131775010015020012295

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
+43Teleop
+33Endgame
+27Fouls
AutonomousBlue +3
9Leave0
0Coral scored#2
0Coral points12
9Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +46
21Coral scored#13
75Coral points47
2Processor algae#1
5Net algae#2
12Processor points6
20Net points8
32Algae points14
107Total teleop61
Reef
9L4#5
5L3#4
5L2#3
2L1 · trough#3
28Game pieces#18
BargeBlue +10
6Cage & park16
6Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +27
0Foul points6
122Total score95

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7869
#11
43.90.5
41.842.3
Auto5.0
Teleop37.0
End1.8
red by 22.5
178
#29
21.30.9
21.422.3
Auto5.2
Teleop14.3
End1.8
Second
228
#7
30.30.5
33.233.7
Auto6.2
Teleop19.1
End5.0
red by 9.8
3654
#21
20.50.9
19.920.7
Auto3.5
Teleop14.9
End2.1
Third
1991
#27
27.70.5
25.425.9
Auto3.1
Teleop22.9
End1.6
red by 7.3
7694
#32
20.40.9
22.823.7
Auto4.6
Teleop13.6
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
58%Auto oddsMissed44%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsEarned5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
54%Barge oddsMissed8%Barge oddsEarned