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Red130
574623.2
55829.8
715347.2
Blue125
633324.8
514253.8
18129.4
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions100107708090120130140150130125

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
+3Teleop
+5Endgame
+5Fouls
AutonomousBlue +3
6Leave6
2Coral scored#3
10Coral points13
16Total auto19
TeleoperatedRed +6
21Coral scored#18
74Coral points64
4Processor algae#4
3Net algae#4
24Processor points24
12Net points16
36Algae points40
110Total teleop104
Reef
9L4#6
5L3#6
5L2#5
4L1 · trough#4
30Game pieces#29
BargeRed +2
4Cage & park2
4Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +5
0Foul points0
130Total score125

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7153
#10
47.21.6
43.945.5
Auto10.3
Teleop31.1
End5.8
blue by 6.6
53.80.9
47.148.0
Auto13.6
Teleop32.8
End7.3
Second
558
#5
29.81.6
26.127.7
Auto4.1
Teleop21.3
End4.3
red by 0.4
181
#35
29.40.9
22.723.7
Auto4.0
Teleop24.1
End1.2
Third
5746
#36
23.21.6
20.321.9
Auto4.5
Teleop18.0
End0.6
blue by 1.6
6333
#19
24.80.9
23.124.0
Auto2.6
Teleop22.0
End0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
66%Auto oddsEarned81%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
12%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
35%Barge oddsMissed21%Barge oddsMissed