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Red65
314637.0
135027.7
49873.3
Blue89
57144.3
91938.2
634635.3
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions70910501502006589

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+9
Teleop+26
Endgame+24
Fouls+24
AutonomousBlue +9
3Leave0
3Coral scored#5
13Coral points25
16Total auto25
TeleoperatedBlue +17
9Coral scored#9
31Coral points32
1Processor algae#3
2Net algae#3
6Processor points18
8Net points12
14Algae points30
45Total teleop62
Reef
6L4#6
3L3#3
2L2#2
1L1 · trough#3
15Game pieces#20
BargeRed +2
4Cage & park2
4Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +24
0Foul points0
65Total score89

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3146
#14
37.00.1
37.937.9
Auto5.0
Teleop25.4
End6.6
blue by 7.3
571
#12
44.30.4
43.443.8
Auto9.0
Teleop32.7
End2.6
Second
1350
#26
27.70.1
18.919.0
Auto5.4
Teleop18.8
End3.4
blue by 7.6
35.30.4
30.030.3
Auto7.8
Teleop26.5
End0.9
Third
4987
#39
3.30.1
7.47.4
Auto3.7
Teleop-0.0
End-0.5
blue by 4.9
9193
#38
8.20.4
10.110.4
Auto3.1
Teleop3.2
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
27%Auto oddsEarned75%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed11%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
30%Barge oddsMissed37%Barge oddsMissed