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Red85
109926.5
17821.3
363423.0
Blue108
216831.3
740778.5
102710.1
6%Model gave it94%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6912705010015020085108

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+5
Teleop+9
Endgame+17
Fouls+23
AutonomousBlue +5
6Leave6
2Coral scored#3
9Coral points14
15Total auto20
TeleoperatedBlue +4
11Coral scored#12
40Coral points44
2Processor algae#2
3Net algae#3
12Processor points12
12Net points12
24Algae points24
64Total teleop68
Reef
5L4#6
4L3#4
2L2#3
2L1 · trough#2
18Game pieces#20
BargeBlue +8
6Cage & park14
6Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +23
0Foul points6
85Total score108

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1099
#30
26.50.3
22.723.0
Auto3.9
Teleop19.5
End3.1
blue by 52.0
78.51.3
74.273.0
Auto22.2
Teleop44.5
End11.8
Second
3634
#25
23.00.3
22.723.0
Auto4.5
Teleop11.2
End7.3
blue by 8.3
2168
#17
31.31.3
25.023.8
Auto4.8
Teleop24.4
End2.0
Third
178
#29
21.30.3
22.322.5
Auto5.2
Teleop14.3
End1.8
red by 11.2
1027
#34
10.11.3
6.75.4
Auto2.3
Teleop5.9
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
66%Auto oddsEarned70%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
2%Coral oddsMissed17%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
58%Barge oddsMissed58%Barge oddsEarned