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Red120
633324.8
135027.7
57144.3
Blue137
18129.4
786943.9
888932.3
29%Model gave it71%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10111280120140160120137

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+4Auto
Teleop+17
Endgame+17
Fouls+17
AutonomousRed +4
0Leave9
3Coral scored#0
13Coral points0
13Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +21
16Coral scored#24
57Coral points86
3Processor algae#3
7Net algae#5
18Processor points18
28Net points20
46Algae points38
103Total teleop124
Reef
8L4#10
3L3#7
4L2#4
4L1 · trough#3
29Game pieces#32
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +17
0Foul points0
120Total score137

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
571
#12
44.31.2
43.845.0
Auto9.0
Teleop32.7
End2.6
red by 0.4
7869
#11
43.91.4
42.343.7
Auto5.0
Teleop37.0
End1.8
Second
1350
#26
27.71.2
19.020.2
Auto5.4
Teleop18.8
End3.4
blue by 4.6
8889
#13
32.31.4
29.530.8
Auto5.4
Teleop26.1
End0.7
Third
6333
#19
24.81.2
24.025.2
Auto2.6
Teleop22.0
End0.2
blue by 4.5
181
#35
29.41.4
23.725.1
Auto4.0
Teleop24.1
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
73%Auto oddsEarned64%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
8%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
22%Barge oddsMissed10%Barge oddsMissed