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Red78
1013326.6
634635.3
1026610.2
Blue101
1024519.3
715347.2
22830.3
9%Model gave it91%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6712205010015020078101

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
Teleop+25
Endgame+23
Fouls+23
AutonomousBlue +3
0Leave6
3Coral scored#3
16Coral points13
16Total auto19
TeleoperatedBlue +22
13Coral scored#13
46Coral points46
1Processor algae#2
1Net algae#5
6Processor points12
4Net points20
10Algae points32
56Total teleop78
Reef
4L4#4
4L3#5
5L2#5
3L1 · trough#2
18Game pieces#23
BargeRed +2
6Cage & park4
6Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +23
0Foul points0
78Total score101

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
35.30.1
30.330.5
Auto7.8
Teleop26.5
End0.9
blue by 11.9
7153
#10
47.20.7
45.544.8
Auto10.3
Teleop31.1
End5.8
Second
26.60.1
21.021.1
Auto4.5
Teleop19.7
End2.4
blue by 3.7
228
#7
30.30.7
35.234.5
Auto6.2
Teleop19.1
End5.0
Third
10.20.1
9.810.0
Auto3.7
Teleop3.9
End2.6
blue by 9.1
19.30.7
18.017.3
Auto6.1
Teleop11.2
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
41%Auto oddsEarned88%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
8%Coral oddsMissed11%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
34%Barge oddsMissed73%Barge oddsMissed