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Red86
102710.1
585616.6
346131.1
Blue98
55829.8
199127.7
217026.3
14%Model gave it86%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions681090501001508698

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
Teleop+24
Endgame+12
Fouls+12
Autonomouslevel
6Leave9
1Coral scored#0
3Coral points0
9Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +24
11Coral scored#16
39Coral points59
1Processor algae#1
4Net algae#5
6Processor points6
16Net points20
22Algae points26
61Total teleop85
Reef
4L4#5
4L3#5
2L2#3
2L1 · trough#3
17Game pieces#22
BargeRed +12
16Cage & park4
16Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +12
0Foul points0
86Total score98

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3461
#20
31.10.9
28.229.2
Auto3.9
Teleop23.7
End3.5
red by 1.3
558
#5
29.80.4
27.727.3
Auto4.1
Teleop21.3
End4.3
Second
5856
#23
16.60.9
17.818.7
Auto3.0
Teleop11.4
End2.2
blue by 11.1
1991
#27
27.70.4
26.626.3
Auto3.1
Teleop22.9
End1.6
Third
1027
#34
10.10.9
5.46.3
Auto2.3
Teleop5.9
End1.9
blue by 16.2
2170
#16
26.30.4
25.324.9
Auto4.9
Teleop17.8
End3.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
27%Auto oddsMissed47%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
2%Coral oddsMissed10%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
37%Barge oddsEarned38%Barge oddsMissed