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Red85
574623.2
17341.8
91938.2
Blue93
971024.6
216831.3
363423.0
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions87762040601001201408593

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
+22Teleop
+10Endgame
Fouls+8
AutonomousRed +3
9Leave6
1Coral scored#1
7Coral points7
16Total auto13
TeleoperatedRed +19
10Coral scored#8
37Coral points30
1Processor algae#1
4Net algae#1
6Processor points6
16Net points4
22Algae points10
59Total teleop40
Reef
3L4#4
3L3#3
3L2#1
2L1 · trough#1
16Game pieces#11
BargeBlue +12
4Cage & park16
4Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +8
6Foul points24
85Total score93

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
173
#24
41.80.2
43.944.1
Auto9.8
Teleop30.5
End1.6
red by 10.6
2168
#17
31.30.1
23.823.8
Auto4.8
Teleop24.4
End2.0
Second
5746
#36
23.20.2
21.922.1
Auto4.5
Teleop18.0
End0.6
blue by 1.4
9710
#28
24.60.1
21.121.2
Auto6.4
Teleop17.3
End0.9
Third
9193
#38
8.20.2
10.410.6
Auto3.1
Teleop3.2
End1.9
blue by 14.8
3634
#25
23.00.1
23.023.0
Auto4.5
Teleop11.2
End7.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
41%Auto oddsEarned76%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
19%Barge oddsMissed48%Barge oddsEarned