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Red174
404845.5
109926.5
740778.5
Blue77
346442.0
17527.9
49873.3
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1606805010020025017477

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+21Auto
+77Teleop
+95Endgame
+97Fouls
AutonomousRed +21
9Leave0
4Coral scored#2
21Coral points9
30Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +56
26Coral scored#13
94Coral points48
2Processor algae#1
3Net algae#2
12Processor points6
12Net points8
24Algae points14
118Total teleop62
Reef
14L4#4
6L3#5
6L2#3
4L1 · trough#3
35Game pieces#18
BargeRed +18
24Cage & park6
24Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +97
2Foul points0
174Total score77

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
78.51.5
73.074.5
Auto22.2
Teleop44.5
End11.8
red by 36.4
3464
#15
42.00.2
38.438.1
Auto4.8
Teleop33.8
End3.4
Second
45.51.5
42.143.6
Auto7.3
Teleop33.2
End5.0
red by 17.6
175
#31
27.90.2
25.825.6
Auto5.8
Teleop18.9
End3.2
Third
1099
#30
26.51.5
23.024.5
Auto3.9
Teleop19.5
End3.1
red by 23.2
4987
#39
3.30.2
7.47.2
Auto3.7
Teleop-0.0
End-0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
83%Auto oddsEarned47%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
19%Coral oddsEarned4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
83%Barge oddsEarned28%Barge oddsMissed