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Qual 502025 NE District Hartford Event
Red92
17527.9
404845.5
55829.8
Blue90
346131.1
574623.2
634635.3
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions111910501502009290

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+2
Teleop+12
+2Endgame
+2Fouls
AutonomousBlue +2
3Leave6
3Coral scored#3
14Coral points13
17Total auto19
TeleoperatedBlue +10
11Coral scored#12
39Coral points43
1Processor algae#2
4Net algae#4
6Processor points12
16Net points16
22Algae points28
61Total teleop71
Reef
5L4#7
3L3#3
3L2#3
3L1 · trough#2
19Game pieces#21
BargeRed +14
14Cage & park0
14Total endgame0
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +2
0Foul points0
92Total score90

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4048
#3
45.50.3
43.6→43.3
Auto7.3
Teleop33.2
End5.0
red by 10.2
6346
#9
35.30.6
30.5→31.0
Auto7.8
Teleop26.5
End0.9
Second
558
#5
29.80.3
27.3→27.0
Auto4.1
Teleop21.3
End4.3
blue by 1.3
3461
#20
31.10.6
29.2→29.7
Auto3.9
Teleop23.7
End3.5
Third
175
#31
27.90.3
25.6→25.3
Auto5.8
Teleop18.9
End3.2
red by 4.7
5746
#36
23.20.6
22.1→22.6
Auto4.5
Teleop18.0
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
52%Auto oddsMissed80%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
9%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
46%Barge oddsEarned25%Barge oddsMissed