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Red161
634635.3
17341.8
514253.8
Blue159
740778.5
888932.3
15535.5
29%Model gave it71%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13315750100200250161159

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+2Teleop
+2Endgame
+2Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
3Leave3
8Coral scored#7
41Coral points34
44Total auto37
TeleoperatedBlue +5
20Coral scored#20
73Coral points72
2Processor algae#3
4Net algae#4
12Processor points18
16Net points16
28Algae points34
101Total teleop106
Reef
8L4#8
12L3#8
4L2#6
4L1 · trough#5
34Game pieces#34
Bargelevel
14Cage & park14
14Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +2
2Foul points2
161Total score159

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
53.81.4
49.550.9
Auto13.6
Teleop32.8
End7.3
blue by 24.6
78.50.2
74.074.2
Auto22.2
Teleop44.5
End11.8
Second
173
#24
41.81.4
44.145.6
Auto9.8
Teleop30.5
End1.6
red by 6.3
155
#18
35.50.2
33.733.9
Auto8.3
Teleop23.3
End3.9
Third
35.31.4
31.032.4
Auto7.8
Teleop26.5
End0.9
red by 3.0
8889
#13
32.30.2
31.031.2
Auto5.4
Teleop26.1
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
96%Auto oddsEarned96%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
14%Coral oddsMissed19%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
22%Barge oddsEarned72%Barge oddsEarned