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Red80
346131.1
91938.2
314637.0
Blue79
365420.5
346442.0
786943.9
13%Model gave it87%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions841192040601001401601808079

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
Teleop+13
+1Endgame
+1Fouls
AutonomousRed +3
3Leave9
3Coral scored#1
13Coral points4
16Total auto13
TeleoperatedBlue +16
12Coral scored#13
42Coral points48
0Processor algae#1
2Net algae#3
0Processor points6
8Net points12
8Algae points18
50Total teleop66
Reef
5L4#3
4L3#5
3L2#4
3L1 · trough#2
17Game pieces#18
BargeRed +14
14Cage & park0
14Total endgame0
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +1
0Foul points0
80Total score79

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3146
#14
37.00.1
37.237.1
Auto5.0
Teleop25.4
End6.6
blue by 6.9
7869
#11
43.92.1
44.342.3
Auto5.0
Teleop37.0
End1.8
Second
3461
#20
31.10.1
29.729.6
Auto3.9
Teleop23.7
End3.5
blue by 10.9
3464
#15
42.02.1
38.236.1
Auto4.8
Teleop33.8
End3.4
Third
9193
#38
8.20.1
9.49.3
Auto3.1
Teleop3.2
End1.9
blue by 12.3
3654
#21
20.52.1
21.419.3
Auto3.5
Teleop14.9
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
17%Auto oddsEarned21%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed10%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
68%Barge oddsEarned27%Barge oddsMissed