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Red131
346131.1
109926.5
365420.5
Blue98
91938.2
199127.7
18129.4
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions102885015013198

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+2
+25Teleop
+33Endgame
+33Fouls
AutonomousBlue +2
3Leave9
1Coral scored#1
7Coral points3
10Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +27
23Coral scored#15
83Coral points54
2Processor algae#1
3Net algae#5
12Processor points6
12Net points20
24Algae points26
107Total teleop80
Reef
9L4#4
9L3#7
3L2#3
3L1 · trough#2
29Game pieces#22
BargeRed +8
14Cage & park6
14Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +33
0Foul points0
131Total score98

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3461
#20
31.11.7
29.631.3
Auto3.9
Teleop23.7
End3.5
red by 1.7
181
#35
29.40.3
25.825.5
Auto4.0
Teleop24.1
End1.2
Second
1099
#30
26.51.7
22.023.7
Auto3.9
Teleop19.5
End3.1
blue by 1.2
1991
#27
27.70.3
28.728.4
Auto3.1
Teleop22.9
End1.6
Third
3654
#21
20.51.7
19.321.1
Auto3.5
Teleop14.9
End2.1
red by 12.3
9193
#38
8.20.3
9.39.0
Auto3.1
Teleop3.2
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
41%Auto oddsEarned19%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed8%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
36%Barge oddsEarned18%Barge oddsMissed