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Red107
634635.3
712752.3
49873.3
Blue65
17821.3
585616.6
888932.3
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10178406012014016018010765

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+1Auto
+28Teleop
+32Endgame
+42Fouls
AutonomousRed +1
3Leave9
3Coral scored#1
13Coral points6
16Total auto15
TeleoperatedRed +27
14Coral scored#8
49Coral points30
1Processor algae#1
5Net algae#3
6Processor points6
20Net points12
26Algae points18
75Total teleop48
Reef
7L4#5
3L3#1
4L2#2
3L1 · trough#1
23Game pieces#13
BargeRed +4
4Cage & park0
4Total endgame0
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +42
12Foul points2
107Total score65

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
52.30.6
49.149.7
Auto8.8
Teleop41.8
End1.7
red by 20.1
8889
#13
32.30.6
31.230.7
Auto5.4
Teleop26.1
End0.7
Second
35.30.6
32.433.1
Auto7.8
Teleop26.5
End0.9
red by 14.0
178
#29
21.30.6
22.121.5
Auto5.2
Teleop14.3
End1.8
Third
4987
#39
3.30.6
3.94.6
Auto3.7
Teleop-0.0
End-0.5
blue by 13.3
5856
#23
16.60.6
18.317.7
Auto3.0
Teleop11.4
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
93%Auto oddsEarned70%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
9%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
10%Barge oddsMissed22%Barge oddsMissed