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Red69
22830.3
17341.8
314637.0
Blue92
363423.0
57144.3
55829.8
86%Model gave it14%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13298501502006992

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+4Auto
Teleop+9
Endgame+23
Fouls+23
AutonomousRed +4
3Leave9
3Coral scored#1
17Coral points7
20Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +13
10Coral scored#11
35Coral points40
0Processor algae#2
3Net algae#2
0Processor points12
12Net points8
12Algae points20
47Total teleop60
Reef
5L4#5
3L3#4
3L2#2
2L1 · trough#1
16Game pieces#16
BargeBlue +14
2Cage & park16
2Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +23
0Foul points0
69Total score92

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
173
#24
41.83.2
45.642.4
Auto9.8
Teleop30.5
End1.6
blue by 2.4
571
#12
44.30.1
44.544.4
Auto9.0
Teleop32.7
End2.6
Second
3146
#14
37.03.2
37.134.0
Auto5.0
Teleop25.4
End6.6
red by 7.2
558
#5
29.80.1
26.826.7
Auto4.1
Teleop21.3
End4.3
Third
228
#7
30.33.2
33.830.6
Auto6.2
Teleop19.1
End5.0
red by 7.3
3634
#25
23.00.1
22.622.5
Auto4.5
Teleop11.2
End7.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
78%Auto oddsEarned75%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
14%Coral oddsMissed16%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
81%Barge oddsMissed74%Barge oddsEarned