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Red97
346442.0
102710.1
971024.6
Blue116
769420.4
514253.8
135027.7
10%Model gave it90%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6611005010015097116

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+14
Teleop+7
Endgame+19
Fouls+19
AutonomousBlue +14
6Leave9
2Coral scored#4
10Coral points21
16Total auto30
TeleoperatedRed +7
15Coral scored#13
53Coral points46
2Processor algae#2
3Net algae#3
12Processor points12
12Net points12
24Algae points24
77Total teleop70
Reef
7L4#4
4L3#5
3L2#5
3L1 · trough#3
22Game pieces#22
BargeBlue +12
4Cage & park16
4Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +19
0Foul points0
97Total score116

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3464
#15
42.02.4
36.138.6
Auto4.8
Teleop33.8
End3.4
blue by 11.8
53.81.7
50.952.6
Auto13.6
Teleop32.8
End7.3
Second
9710
#28
24.62.4
19.421.8
Auto6.4
Teleop17.3
End0.9
blue by 3.1
1350
#26
27.71.7
20.522.2
Auto5.4
Teleop18.8
End3.4
Third
1027
#34
10.12.4
5.07.5
Auto2.3
Teleop5.9
End1.9
blue by 10.3
7694
#32
20.41.7
19.521.2
Auto4.6
Teleop13.6
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
29%Auto oddsEarned73%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
7%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
38%Barge oddsMissed13%Barge oddsEarned