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Red142
740778.5
786943.9
633324.8
Blue104
404845.5
15535.5
23643.3
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions15612880100120140180200220142104

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+21Auto
+38Teleop
+38Endgame
+38Fouls
AutonomousRed +21
0Leave0
6Coral scored#2
30Coral points9
30Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +17
18Coral scored#18
64Coral points63
2Processor algae#2
5Net algae#1
12Processor points12
20Net points4
32Algae points16
96Total teleop79
Reef
7L4#6
9L3#5
5L2#5
3L1 · trough#4
31Game pieces#23
Bargelevel
16Cage & park16
16Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +38
0Foul points0
142Total score104

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
78.50.1
74.274.3
Auto22.2
Teleop44.5
End11.8
red by 33.0
45.50.9
44.043.1
Auto7.3
Teleop33.2
End5.0
Second
7869
#11
43.90.1
42.342.4
Auto5.0
Teleop37.0
End1.8
red by 0.6
236
#8
43.30.9
40.139.2
Auto7.0
Teleop28.3
End7.9
Third
6333
#19
24.80.1
23.824.0
Auto2.6
Teleop22.0
End0.2
blue by 10.7
155
#18
35.50.9
33.933.0
Auto8.3
Teleop23.3
End3.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
77%Auto oddsEarned91%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
20%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
70%Barge oddsEarned71%Barge oddsEarned