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Red102
514253.8
585616.6
57144.3
Blue57
574623.2
1026610.2
363423.0
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13750010015020010257

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+11Auto
+47Teleop
+45Endgame
+45Fouls
AutonomousRed +11
3Leave0
4Coral scored#2
20Coral points12
23Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +36
10Coral scored#8
35Coral points27
2Processor algae#0
5Net algae#1
12Processor points0
20Net points4
32Algae points4
67Total teleop31
Reef
5L4#3
5L3#3
2L2#3
2L1 · trough#1
21Game pieces#11
BargeBlue +2
12Cage & park14
12Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +45
0Foul points0
102Total score57

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
53.80.9
52.651.8
Auto13.6
Teleop32.8
End7.3
red by 30.6
5746
#36
23.20.1
22.622.8
Auto4.5
Teleop18.0
End0.6
Second
571
#12
44.30.9
44.443.6
Auto9.0
Teleop32.7
End2.6
red by 21.3
3634
#25
23.00.1
22.522.6
Auto4.5
Teleop11.2
End7.3
Third
5856
#23
16.60.9
17.716.9
Auto3.0
Teleop11.4
End2.2
red by 6.4
10.20.1
9.810.0
Auto3.7
Teleop3.9
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
92%Auto oddsEarned43%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
20%Coral oddsMissed2%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
45%Barge oddsMissed39%Barge oddsEarned