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Red153
135027.7
23643.3
216831.3
Blue119
404845.5
22830.3
346131.1
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions97118406080140160180153119

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+4Auto
+22Teleop
+34Endgame
+34Fouls
AutonomousRed +4
9Leave0
3Coral scored#4
14Coral points19
23Total auto19
TeleoperatedRed +18
20Coral scored#18
72Coral points64
3Processor algae#2
6Net algae#5
18Processor points12
24Net points20
42Algae points32
114Total teleop96
Reef
6L4#9
7L3#6
5L2#5
5L1 · trough#2
32Game pieces#29
BargeRed +12
16Cage & park4
16Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +34
0Foul points0
153Total score119

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
236
#8
43.33.7
39.242.9
Auto7.0
Teleop28.3
End7.9
blue by 2.2
45.50.6
43.143.6
Auto7.3
Teleop33.2
End5.0
Second
2168
#17
31.33.7
27.531.1
Auto4.8
Teleop24.4
End2.0
red by 0.2
3461
#20
31.10.6
29.730.3
Auto3.9
Teleop23.7
End3.5
Third
1350
#26
27.73.7
22.225.9
Auto5.4
Teleop18.8
End3.4
blue by 2.6
228
#7
30.30.6
29.630.1
Auto6.2
Teleop19.1
End5.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
71%Auto oddsEarned67%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed8%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
46%Barge oddsEarned85%Barge oddsMissed