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Red143
715347.2
135027.7
404845.5
Blue130
15535.5
109926.5
514253.8
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions122122115120125130135140143130

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
+9Teleop
+11Endgame
+13Fouls
AutonomousRed +3
6Leave0
4Coral scored#5
20Coral points23
26Total auto23
TeleoperatedRed +6
16Coral scored#13
57Coral points47
2Processor algae#2
5Net algae#6
12Processor points12
20Net points24
32Algae points36
89Total teleop83
Reef
7L4#6
7L3#6
5L2#3
1L1 · trough#3
27Game pieces#26
BargeRed +2
26Cage & park24
26Total endgame24
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +13
2Foul points0
143Total score130

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7153
#10
47.21.8
44.446.2
Auto10.3
Teleop31.1
End5.8
blue by 6.6
53.81.0
51.852.8
Auto13.6
Teleop32.8
End7.3
Second
45.51.8
43.645.4
Auto7.3
Teleop33.2
End5.0
red by 10.0
155
#18
35.51.0
34.235.2
Auto8.3
Teleop23.3
End3.9
Third
1350
#26
27.71.8
25.927.7
Auto5.4
Teleop18.8
End3.4
red by 1.2
1099
#30
26.51.0
25.426.5
Auto3.9
Teleop19.5
End3.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
70%Auto oddsEarned94%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
15%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
59%Barge oddsEarned32%Barge oddsEarned