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Red203
740778.5
18129.4
19569.7
Blue145
15535.5
346442.0
57144.3
98%Model gave it2%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions197128100150250203145

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+24Auto
+38Teleop
+60Endgame
+58Fouls
AutonomousRed +24
9Leave0
7Coral scored#4
35Coral points20
44Total auto20
TeleoperatedRed +14
29Coral scored#27
105Coral points97
2Processor algae#1
4Net algae#4
12Processor points6
16Net points16
28Algae points22
133Total teleop119
Reef
11L4#9
9L3#8
10L2#8
6L1 · trough#6
42Game pieces#36
BargeRed +22
26Cage & park4
26Total endgame4
Penalties & totalRed +58
0Foul points2
203Total score145

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
78.50.6
75.376.0
Auto22.2
Teleop44.5
End11.8
red by 34.2
571
#12
44.30.4
44.044.4
Auto9.0
Teleop32.7
End2.6
Second
195
#2
69.70.6
66.667.3
Auto18.6
Teleop41.5
End9.7
red by 27.7
3464
#15
42.00.4
41.742.1
Auto4.8
Teleop33.8
End3.4
Third
181
#35
29.40.6
26.226.9
Auto4.0
Teleop24.1
End1.2
blue by 6.1
155
#18
35.50.4
35.235.6
Auto8.3
Teleop23.3
End3.9