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Red111
23643.3
55829.8
199127.7
Blue121
22830.3
216831.3
17341.8
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions129129115120125130111121

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
Teleop+10
Endgame+10
Fouls+10
AutonomousBlue +7
0Leave6
2Coral scored#2
9Coral points10
9Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +3
16Coral scored#15
56Coral points53
2Processor algae#3
5Net algae#5
12Processor points18
20Net points20
32Algae points38
88Total teleop91
Reef
7L4#8
5L3#5
3L2#2
3L1 · trough#2
25Game pieces#25
Bargelevel
14Cage & park14
14Total endgame14
Penalties & totalBlue +10
0Foul points0
111Total score121

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
236
#8
43.30.1
43.343.2
Auto7.0
Teleop28.3
End7.9
red by 1.4
173
#24
41.80.1
41.741.8
Auto9.8
Teleop30.5
End1.6
Second
558
#5
29.80.1
29.829.7
Auto4.1
Teleop21.3
End4.3
blue by 1.5
2168
#17
31.30.1
31.131.2
Auto4.8
Teleop24.4
End2.0
Third
1991
#27
27.70.1
27.727.6
Auto3.1
Teleop22.9
End1.6
blue by 2.6
228
#7
30.30.1
30.130.2
Auto6.2
Teleop19.1
End5.0