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Red140
404845.5
217026.3
712752.3
Blue120
314637.0
346131.1
786943.9
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1361216080100160180200220140120

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+11Auto
+30Teleop
+20Endgame
+20Fouls
AutonomousRed +11
3Leave0
5Coral scored#3
24Coral points16
27Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +19
24Coral scored#18
85Coral points64
1Processor algae#2
4Net algae#3
6Processor points12
16Net points12
22Algae points24
107Total teleop88
Reef
6L4#8
10L3#7
7L2#3
6L1 · trough#3
34Game pieces#26
BargeBlue +10
6Cage & park16
6Total endgame16
Penalties & totalRed +20
0Foul points0
140Total score120

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
52.30.4
52.352.6
Auto8.8
Teleop41.8
End1.7
red by 8.4
7869
#11
43.90.2
43.143.3
Auto5.0
Teleop37.0
End1.8
Second
45.50.4
45.445.8
Auto7.3
Teleop33.2
End5.0
red by 8.5
3146
#14
37.00.2
36.236.5
Auto5.0
Teleop25.4
End6.6
Third
2170
#16
26.30.4
26.326.6
Auto4.9
Teleop17.8
End3.6
blue by 4.8
3461
#20
31.10.2
30.330.5
Auto3.9
Teleop23.7
End3.5