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Red175
514253.8
715347.2
17527.9
Blue110
888932.3
634635.3
633324.8
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1439850200175110

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+35Auto
+53Teleop
+65Endgame
+65Fouls
AutonomousRed +35
6Leave9
8Coral scored#0
38Coral points0
44Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +18
25Coral scored#20
91Coral points71
3Processor algae#2
2Net algae#4
18Processor points12
8Net points16
26Algae points28
117Total teleop99
Reef
13L4#8
11L3#4
5L2#5
4L1 · trough#3
38Game pieces#26
BargeRed +12
14Cage & park2
14Total endgame2
Penalties & totalRed +65
0Foul points0
175Total score110

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
53.80.9
52.853.7
Auto13.6
Teleop32.8
End7.3
red by 18.5
35.30.1
35.235.4
Auto7.8
Teleop26.5
End0.9
Second
7153
#10
47.20.9
46.247.0
Auto10.3
Teleop31.1
End5.8
red by 14.9
8889
#13
32.30.1
32.232.3
Auto5.4
Teleop26.1
End0.7
Third
175
#31
27.90.9
26.927.8
Auto5.8
Teleop18.9
End3.2
red by 3.1
6333
#19
24.80.1
24.824.9
Auto2.6
Teleop22.0
End0.2