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Red178
740781.3
99994.0
19565.5
Blue154
331467.4
1041327.1
83964.0
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions173174155160165170180185178154

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+14Auto
+30Teleop
+20Endgame
+24Fouls
AutonomousRed +14
9Leave3
8Coral scored#7
42Coral points34
51Total auto37
TeleoperatedRed +16
20Coral scored#16
73Coral points57
2Processor algae#2
5Net algae#5
12Processor points12
20Net points20
32Algae points32
105Total teleop89
Reef
11L4#9
9L3#6
6L2#5
2L1 · trough#3
35Game pieces#30
BargeBlue +10
16Cage & park26
16Total endgame26
Penalties & totalRed +24
6Foul points2
178Total score154

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
81.30.5
80.881.3
Auto20.0
Teleop50.3
End11.0
red by 13.9
67.40.2
67.667.4
Auto19.8
Teleop39.2
End8.4
Second
195
#2
65.50.5
65.065.5
Auto17.7
Teleop41.4
End6.4
red by 1.5
839
#8
64.00.2
64.264.0
Auto8.4
Teleop45.1
End10.5
Third
9999
#28
4.00.9
3.14.0
Auto0.6
Teleop3.4
End-0.1
blue by 23.2
27.10.2
27.327.1
Auto2.9
Teleop20.2
End4.1