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Red198
740781.3
715325.9
19565.5
Blue180
331467.4
83964.0
107123.2
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1841620100300400198180

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+14Auto
+16Teleop
+18Endgame
+18Fouls
AutonomousRed +14
0Leave9
12Coral scored#7
58Coral points35
58Total auto44
TeleoperatedRed +2
22Coral scored#22
78Coral points80
2Processor algae#2
6Net algae#5
12Processor points12
24Net points20
36Algae points32
114Total teleop112
Reef
13L4#10
10L3#8
5L2#7
6L1 · trough#4
42Game pieces#36
BargeRed +2
26Cage & park24
26Total endgame24
Penalties & totalRed +18
0Foul points0
198Total score180

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
81.30.6
80.280.8
Auto20.0
Teleop50.3
End11.0
red by 13.9
67.40.6
67.067.6
Auto19.8
Teleop39.2
End8.4
Second
195
#2
65.50.6
64.465.0
Auto17.7
Teleop41.4
End6.4
red by 1.5
839
#8
64.00.6
63.664.2
Auto8.4
Teleop45.1
End10.5
Third
7153
#20
25.90.6
25.325.9
Auto7.4
Teleop12.3
End6.2
red by 2.6
1071
#17
23.20.6
22.623.2
Auto7.1
Teleop13.5
End2.7