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Red53
514232.3
346433.0
997810.3
Blue182
331467.4
1041327.1
83964.0
2%Model gave it98%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7318305010015020025030053182

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+17
Teleop+107
Endgame+123
Fouls+129
AutonomousBlue +17
3Leave6
2Coral scored#5
10Coral points24
13Total auto30
TeleoperatedBlue +90
6Coral scored#19
20Coral points68
1Processor algae#4
1Net algae#7
6Processor points24
4Net points28
10Algae points52
30Total teleop120
Reef
4L4#8
1L3#7
2L2#5
1L1 · trough#4
10Game pieces#35
BargeBlue +16
10Cage & park26
10Total endgame26
Penalties & totalBlue +129
0Foul points6
53Total score182

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33.00.5
33.533.0
Auto7.4
Teleop23.5
End2.0
blue by 34.4
67.40.4
66.567.0
Auto19.8
Teleop39.2
End8.4
Second
5142
#19
32.30.5
32.932.3
Auto8.9
Teleop19.0
End4.4
blue by 31.7
839
#8
64.00.4
63.263.6
Auto8.4
Teleop45.1
End10.5
Third
9978
#11
10.30.9
11.210.3
Auto1.6
Teleop9.3
End-0.8
blue by 16.9
27.10.4
26.927.3
Auto2.9
Teleop20.2
End4.1