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Red149
632868.2
17528.9
808528.8
Blue207
331467.4
1041327.1
83964.0
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12417150100150200250300149207

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+1
Teleop+36
Endgame+58
Fouls+58
AutonomousBlue +1
9Leave6
6Coral scored#7
31Coral points35
40Total auto41
TeleoperatedBlue +35
19Coral scored#23
69Coral points82
2Processor algae#5
6Net algae#7
12Processor points30
24Net points28
36Algae points58
105Total teleop140
Reef
9L4#14
6L3#7
6L2#6
4L1 · trough#3
33Game pieces#42
BargeBlue +22
4Cage & park26
4Total endgame26
Penalties & totalBlue +58
0Foul points0
149Total score207

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6328
#18
68.20.5
67.668.2
Auto15.5
Teleop45.2
End7.4
red by 0.8
67.41.2
65.366.5
Auto19.8
Teleop39.2
End8.4
Second
175
#3
28.90.5
28.428.9
Auto6.4
Teleop20.3
End2.2
blue by 35.1
839
#8
64.01.2
62.063.2
Auto8.4
Teleop45.1
End10.5
Third
8085
#15
28.80.5
28.328.8
Auto5.1
Teleop21.4
End2.3
red by 1.7
27.11.2
25.726.9
Auto2.9
Teleop20.2
End4.1