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Red221
740781.3
715325.9
19565.5
Blue85
346433.0
169963.2
997810.3
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions18811105015025030035040022185

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+39Auto
+114Teleop
+130Endgame
+136Fouls
AutonomousRed +39
9Leave6
10Coral scored#3
49Coral points13
58Total auto19
TeleoperatedRed +75
24Coral scored#8
85Coral points28
4Processor algae#1
3Net algae#3
24Processor points6
12Net points12
36Algae points18
121Total teleop46
Reef
12L4#5
11L3#3
6L2#2
5L1 · trough#1
41Game pieces#15
BargeRed +16
36Cage & park20
36Total endgame20
Penalties & totalRed +136
6Foul points0
221Total score85

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
81.31.1
79.180.2
Auto20.0
Teleop50.3
End11.0
red by 18.1
1699
#16
63.20.6
63.863.2
Auto10.2
Teleop46.2
End6.9
Second
195
#2
65.51.1
63.364.4
Auto17.7
Teleop41.4
End6.4
red by 32.5
33.00.6
34.133.5
Auto7.4
Teleop23.5
End2.0
Third
7153
#20
25.91.1
24.225.3
Auto7.4
Teleop12.3
End6.2
red by 15.6
9978
#11
10.30.9
12.111.2
Auto1.6
Teleop9.3
End-0.8