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Red162
632868.2
17528.9
808528.8
Blue80
99946.5
318215.6
17661.4
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions134131608010012016018016280

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+13Auto
+72Teleop
+82Endgame
+82Fouls
AutonomousRed +13
3Leave6
7Coral scored#4
37Coral points21
40Total auto27
TeleoperatedRed +59
18Coral scored#9
64Coral points33
3Processor algae#1
6Net algae#2
18Processor points6
24Net points8
42Algae points14
106Total teleop47
Reef
11L4#5
5L3#3
7L2#3
2L1 · trough#2
34Game pieces#16
BargeRed +10
14Cage & park4
14Total endgame4
Penalties & totalRed +82
2Foul points2
162Total score80

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6328
#18
68.20.8
66.867.6
Auto15.5
Teleop45.2
End7.4
red by 6.8
176
#14
61.41.1
62.561.4
Auto17.3
Teleop40.1
End4.0
Second
175
#3
28.90.8
27.528.4
Auto6.4
Teleop20.3
End2.2
blue by 17.5
999
#5
46.51.1
47.546.5
Auto12.3
Teleop31.7
End2.5
Third
8085
#15
28.80.8
27.428.3
Auto5.1
Teleop21.4
End2.3
red by 13.3
3182
#21
15.61.1
16.615.6
Auto2.9
Teleop9.6
End3.1