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Red181
331467.4
1041327.1
83964.0
Blue153
107349.8
712750.3
199116.7
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions181123050100150200250300181153

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+14
+10Teleop
+22Endgame
+28Fouls
AutonomousBlue +14
9Leave3
4Coral scored#8
21Coral points41
30Total auto44
TeleoperatedRed +24
22Coral scored#14
79Coral points51
4Processor algae#4
4Net algae#5
24Processor points24
16Net points20
40Algae points44
119Total teleop95
Reef
10L4#6
8L3#6
4L2#5
4L1 · trough#5
34Game pieces#31
BargeRed +12
26Cage & park14
26Total endgame14
Penalties & totalRed +28
6Foul points0
181Total score153

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
67.40.5
64.865.3
Auto19.8
Teleop39.2
End8.4
red by 17.1
7127
#22
50.30.9
49.550.3
Auto8.9
Teleop39.9
End1.5
Second
839
#8
64.00.5
61.462.0
Auto8.4
Teleop45.1
End10.5
red by 14.2
49.80.9
48.949.8
Auto12.8
Teleop27.3
End9.8
Third
27.10.5
25.125.7
Auto2.9
Teleop20.2
End4.1
red by 10.4
1991
#24
16.70.9
15.916.7
Auto3.2
Teleop12.5
End1.0